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KACSPORTS 2008 FANTASY RANKINGS - QUARTERBACKS



1. Tom Brady (NE) – True, he had one of the greatest seasons in the history of fantasy football last year by throwing for 50 TD's v. 8 INT's. But in the one league I managed to win last year, I did so by benching Brady in Week 15 (where he got shut out) in favor of Kurt Warner (who threw three TD's). Of course part of that decision involved blustery conditions Brady faced that particular week while Warner was indoors at home. I only bring this up to reinforce the fickle nature of the QB position in fantasy football. True, those who took Brady in Round 3 last year ended up winning the lions share of fantasy league titles. Which is the point – Brady will not be a bargain this year, and is going at #6 or #7 overall in most formats. If you feel Brady can even approach last year's #'s (40+ TD) go ahead and knock yourself out, otherwise you might want to target another QB who could peak this year. New England does have another ridiculously easy schedule this year, but they will have no interest in duplicating another undefeated regular season – there is a good chance that Brady could see limited action in the last couple of weeks if the Patriots clinch the AFC's #1 seed early this time around.



2.Tony Romo (DAL) – As spectacular as Brady was last year, Romo was only about a half-tick behind, ultimately throwing for 36 touchdowns. Romo also comes armed with with three elite targets in WR Terrell Owens, TE Jason Witten, and girlfriend Jessica Simpson. If Jessica can make her way out of the press box and onto the field this year Romo might just throw for 50. As is the case with Brady, the goal for Brady's team is Super Bowl or bust this year, so he might get rested in some late season games as well. It's possible that Owens advancing age could end up being a factor this year. Also the NFC East Group of Death means Romo will have some more difficult games than Brady.



3.Peyton Manning (IND) – Brett Favre's accomplishments have gotten him a lot of ink in recent years, and rightfully so. But let it be known that #18 is just six years behind Favre's consecutive game mark, and if he stays healthy (and there's no work stoppage in 2011), #18 should have most if not all of Favre's records by the end of his career. And while Favre had to gut it out many times during his 16 years, Manning has hardly gotten a dent thanks to perennially having a strong O-line in front of him. Petyon has been #1 on this list in recent years, he drops this year not due to diminishing skills, but by being leap-frogged by Brady/Romo. Translated, Peyton comes at a tremendous discount this year. Instead of pulling the trigger late first-round, you should be able to wait until the middle or even late in Round 2 in 12-team leagues, and still get his usual 4,000+ yards and 28-30 TD's.



4. Drew Brees (NO) – The top three on this list are considered by many to be the Tier 1 QB's, I don't think Brees is far off the echelon if at all. At the very least if you like someone who throws the ball a lot Brees is right up your alley. In 2007 alone Brees threw it up 652 times with a fine 67.5 percent completion percentage and 28 TD's. Brees flew a bit off the radar due in part to having a horrible first four games of the '07 campaign, which even got him thrown to the waiver wire in some leagues. The Saints don't have much of a running game, so I really like Brees' prospects this year – don't even be surprised if he winds up #1 in fantasy points.



5. Carson Palmer (CIN) – By averaging 29 TD's and 4,000 yards the last three years, Palmer has statistically put himself at a skill-set level to Peyton Manning. The prospects for Palmer this year are lukewarm due to the uncertainty of Chad Johnson's motivation. If you ignore the circus, Palmer should still be a solid Round 4 (and definitely Round 5) pick in 12-team leauges.



6. Derek Anderson (CLE) – All you need to know about quarterbacks and fantasy football. Outside of Brady-owned teams, those who grabbed Derek late in drafts (or even off the waiver wire) came out doing very well last year as Anderson finished with 29 TD's. Anderson did cool off with the weather late in the season, and it should be noted that he did a lot of his damage v. division rival Cincinnati. Anderson has a top-flight receiving corps at his disposal, and the addition of Donte Stallworth should give him some additional big strikes. I would advise however a Brady Quinn handcuff should you draft Derek.



7. Matt Hasselbeck (SEA) – A pure right-wing conservative choice here. The numbers are never that spectacular and he does not have the greatest receivers in the world. But when healthy, Hasselbeck has been good for 1.5 touchdowns per game in recent seasons. You won't get upside but you know exactly what you are going to get.



8. Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) – Until last year, Roeth had been likened a lot to Troy Aikman, perceived as a better QB in real life than in fantasy football. Well 32 touchdowns last year should have put an end to that talk, especially if we throw out the Monday night 3-0 game in unplayable conditions. Truth is however that Roeth didn't throw a lot last year, and will potentially throw even less this year as the Steelers addressed the running game in this year's draft. Roeth is a very solid Tier 2 QB, but don't expect much more than 25 TD's.



9. Eli Manning (NYG) – The post-season hero has actually been productive during the regular campaign during his still brief career, throwing for 24, 24, and 23 TD passes, which is exactly the same ratio as the six he threw in the Giants four post-season games. If you can handle the relatively low completion percentage, a relatively high number of interceptions – and the fact that the Giants are a run-first team, then Eli isn't a bad choice in this spot.



10. Jay Cutler (DEN) – It's not like completing 63.6 percent of his passes or throwing 20 TD's was awful, but Cutler was a modest disappointment and seemed to tire a bit late last season, and the reason came out during the off-season when Cutler was diagnosed with diabetes. The silver lining is that Cutler will now be able to monitor the condition. A bigger concern is whether #1 receiver Brandon Marshall will be 100 percent by opening day.



11.Donovan McNabb (PHI) – It was thought that McNabb would be moving on this year, but he stays in Philly for one more campaign. Biggest negative here is that McNabb never makes it through an entire campaign – and that if the Eagles fall out of contention this year coach Andy Reid may elect to take a look at Kevin Kolb. If you draft McNabb and he has one of his typical hot Septembers, you may want to find a trading partner at that point.



12. Aaron Rodgers (GB) – Consider this as one of my dice rolls for this year. This is much higher than you'll see Rodgers ranked by most other publications, not to mention rumbling of a possible Brett Favre comeback are flying as I rank this. Should Favre come back and the Packers accept him, you will hopefully know long before your draft. For now however I operate on the premise that Rodgers is indeed the man in Green Bay this year. And the off-season reports are pretty good and teammates attest that he has a cannon for an arm, with one receiver even referring to him has the 'human JUGS machine'. I can easily see Rodgers putting up numbers close to what #4 attained last year, and I personally have him as a targeted player, and he fits into the classic fantasy football strategy of finding a diamond in the rough at QB after drafting a couple of stud RB's and even a top-flight WR. He will also be a must-have in the Fanball salary cap game with a low salary. Two out of five panelists on Yahoo have Rodgers in the top 13, while two out of 20 in a Fantasy Football Index exports poll have AR top-ten. Point is, if you want Rodgers pull the trigger early because someone else will.



13. Philip Rivers (SD) – Has a couple of nice 20+ TD seasons under his belt, but my ceiling on Rivers this year is somewhat limited after undergoing knee surgery after gutting out the injury during the AFC playoffs. TE Antonio Gates and WR Chris Chambers are good targets, but the RB gets a lot of the end zone action in Diego.



14. Marc Bulger (STL) – Is still just two years removed from a 4,300 yard/24 TD campaign, but Bulger's other recent seasons have been injury-riddled. I wouldn't rank the tin man amongst the top receivers, but don't let him slide too far in your draft neither.



15. Brett Favre (NYJ) – In case you haven't heard, Favre has finally found a willing home for the 2008 season. Now he gets all of four weeks to learn the Jets offensive system after not be involved in any OTA's during his brief retirement. The Jets have two nice starting receivers, which will help them individually. But the Jets don't have as deep a receiving corps than the Packers, they rely more on the run, Favre has to manage dealing with a system much different than he's familiar with, and he turns age 39 in October. Favre is coming off one of his best seasons ever, and I would rank him higher than this had the Packers immediately reinstated him as a #1 v. kicking him to the curb. In fantasy, Favre now becomes someone likely to be drafted too soon in many leagues, either by a Jets fan or a frustrated Packers fan feeling that at least he could own him if Ted Thompson doesn't. But you can justify a pick on Favre at any time after the first ten or so QB's are gone.



16. David Garrard (JAX) – He became the Troy Aikman-like, better in real life than in fantasy, by throwing for 18 TD's v. only three INT's last year – but was even solid in fantasy towards the end of last year throwing 12 of his TD's in the Jags final six games. Jacksonville still has one of the weakest receiving corps in the league, so Garrard will be hard-pressed to duplicate the statistical production.



17. Matt Schaub (HOU) – He was one of my major sleepers heading into last year, and he was looking pretty good until getting hurt and letting Sage Rosenfels work his way into the picture. Schaub has one of the leagues better receivers in Andre Johnson at his disposal, and Jacoby Jones may help Schaub get a big play or two.



18. Kurt Warner (AZ) – Here are Warner's stats for the final eight games of 2007 – 2,360 yards/21 TD's. That was as good as anyone this side of Tom Brady. The AZ coaching staff gave Matt Leinart every chance to regain the starting job during camp, but the pre-season evidence supports Warner still being the better option.



19. Jon Kitna (DET) – The latter-day Steve DeBerg boldly predicted a 50-TD season before last season, and for about the first third of the campaign his prediction did not seem far off. But Kitna and his wife then spoofed one of the team's coaches at a Halloween party, and then in an even better stunt, disappeared from view. You think at some point this year second year QB Drew Stanton will get a call, but Kitna vows that the only two people allowed to touch his center's backside are himself and the center's wife.



20. Jake Delhomme (CAR) – He did throw 53 TD's between 2004 and '05 combined, and still has top receiver Steve Smith in his arsenal. But coming off major elbow surgery, there will be major doubts about Delhomme. The fact that Carolina has been mentioned as a possible landing spot for Brett Favre could be considered additional proof that Delhomme's status is not completely insured.



21. Vince Young (TN) – At least Brett Favre was a dozen years in before his retirement speculation started. During the off-season, VY confessed that he contemplated retirement last year, that would be after his rookie season. On everyone's list for a breakthrough season last year, not only did VY struggle with his passing, but his running stats wound up as an even bigger disappointment. The Titans did send OC Norm Chow off on his merry way back to the college game after the season, so maybe VY will be allowed to run more this year. But as of now, Young still has to be considered a poor man's Michael Vick.



22. JaMarcus Russell (OAK) – 2007 was basically a red-shirt year for the #1 overall pick, who had a lengthy holdout, but got some work in game situations late in the year. Russell will have a decent receiving corps and has a rocket arm, so there is a lot of potential upside this year. At the very least he looks to be on a better track than the other #1 overall pick on the other side of the bay.



23. Jason Campbell (WSH) – His stats in his first year and a half as starter have been merely pedestrian, but the Skins addressed the passing game by using their top three draft picks on wide receivers. New head coach (at least for this year) Jim Zorn may also be featuring the pass more than predecessor Joe Gibbs.



24. Tavaris Jackson (MN) – Still very much a work in progress, and his stats and his receiving corps is not of much worth to fantasy teams at this stage in his career. Tavaris does run with the ball on occasion, and the best news for him right now is that a certain quarterback from Green Bay will NOT be coming.



25. J.T. O'Sullivan (SF) – Nine years after Kurt Warner became the biggest Cinderella story in the history of fantasy football, could Mike Martz be cooking another major surprise?? What we do know about JTOS is that he flat out supplanted the disappointing Alex Smith this year in camp.



26. Matt Ryan (ATL) – This pick will be more valuable in keeper leagues, but the Falcons are giving the #3 overall draft pick the keys to their offense from Day 1.



27.Jeff Garcia (TB) – How many comebacks does this cat still have in him??? Only problem with Garcia is that his go-to wide receiver is almost as old as he is.



28. Brady Quinn (CLE) – One of the essential handcuffs for this NFL season. If anything goes down with Derek Anderson and BQ gets a chance and performs, he could run with it. He wasn't the Tom Brady of college and he didn't get that Subway endorsement for nothing.



29. Chad Pennington (MIA) – His salary became expendable when the Jets acquired Brett Favre, but Chad wasted little time landing on his feet and quickly becoming the Dolphins starter.



30. Kyle Boller (BAL) – His numbers, when he's gotten in, have not been horrible the past few seasons. But Boller is only a caretaker now until first-round draft pick Joe Flacco is ready.



31. Trent Edwards (BUF) – J.P. Los(s)man had to be the worst name ever for a professional athlete with the possible exception of Tampa Bay Rays reliever Grant Bal(l)four. With JPL said to be on the outs, it sounds like Edwards will be the QB of the forseeable future in Buffalo. But the upside is questionable, Edwards already has the dreaded label of being a 'game manager'. If it means anything to you, a Week 14 'home' game v. Miami has been designated as the now-annual game the Bills will play indoors at Toronto's Skydome, which may make that a little more attractive of a matchup if you are REALLY desperate.



32. Kyle Orton (CHI) – Orton supplanted Rex Grossman as the Bears starter this summer and was reasonably good in the games. There are still not too many other starters I would rank a Bears starter over.



33. Brodie Croyle (KC) – He doesn't have much competition at the moment, but is a perfect 0-6 as an NFL starter. KC may be better off bringing John Brodie out of retirement at this point. Count the Chiefs as a player in the 'Brett Favre Sweepstakes'



34. Todd Collins (WSH) – It can be said a million times, in the NFL it is all about opportunity and with one does with. Collins had thrown all of 27 regular season passes in the previous 9 ¾ seasons – but was suddenly thrown into the fire after Jason Campbell got hurt in the Skins Week 14 game. Collins only proceeded to win all four games, leading Washington into the playoffs while producing a nifty 106 QB rating in the process. If Campell doesn't turn up the wick early, the DC fan base will be calling for Collins fairly quickly.



35. Sage Rosenfals (HOU) – Threw for 15 TD's in nine games of action, forcing his way into competition with #1 QB Matt Schaub. Most impressively, Sage was only sacked six times in his nine games, which was quite a change after years of Houston fans watching David Carr getting hammered.



36. Brian Griese (TB) – From Denver to Miami to Tampa to Chicago, and now back to Tampa. Bears fans found out that Griese wasn't everything he was cracked up to be after finally displacing Rex Grossman last year. Griese did throw for 20 TD's in 11 games back in 2004 for the Bucs, so he figures to be a nice plug-and-play waiver wire pick up at some point this year.



37. Chad Henne (MIA) – Even though he wasn't drafted until near the end of Round 2, the University of Michigan product seems to be the most likely rookie to see significant time in 2007. John Beck didn't do much in his audition last year and Josh McCown is merely a career backup. Henne threw 62 TD passes v. 25 INT's in his final three years at Ann Arbor – logic says he could get his first NFL start as soon as immediately following the Dolphins Week 4 bye.



38. Kellen Clemens (NYJ) – Had a spectacular 2007 pre-season, but Clemens quickly found out that the regular season was a different deal altogether after becoming the starter after the Jets 1-7 start. Kellen only completed 52 percent of his passes and a measly five touchdowns in his half-seasons worth of work. The Jets also drafted Erik Ainge this year, and some point the Jets fan base can enjoy him as much as UT fans enjoyed him for three years.



39. Chris Redman (ATL) – I'm sure there's some fantasy owner out there whose league's title game was not until Week 17, and then scooped up Redman off the waiver wire, where he threw for four TD's in the season finale. In all Redman threw 10 TD's in the A-T-L's final five games, Redman's first NFL action in nearly five years. Redman should open the '08 season as the Falcons starting QB.



40. Drew Stanton (DET) – Another recent Big Ten quarterback, Stanton spent the 2007 season basically stashed on IR following a training camp injury. But Lions brass is impressed enough that Drew starts this year as a #2, and is a good bet to supplant Jon Kitna at some point this season.



41. Joe Flacco (BAL) – Wonder if Michael Silver could top this in his 'lyrics' segment – 1756: Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart is born. 1761: At the age of five Amadeus begins composing. 1784: Wolfgand Amadeus Mozart becomes a free mason. 1791: Mozart composes the Magic Flute, and later that year Mozart dies......2008: The Baltimore Ravens reach and select a Division 1-AA quarterback named Flacco with the 18th overall pick of the NFL Draft. Su, su, su, sugar sweet, sugar sweet. Flacco's stock rose dramatically after the Senior Bowl and other pre-draft workouts, and the Ravens were among the teams with a need. One adjustment factor is that Flacco operated mainly out of the shotgun while playing for Delaware. Should be a decent keeper pick, but he will probably spend most of this year with a clipboard in his hands.



42. Matt Moore (CAR) – After going through their entire stash of QB's and even being force to bring ancient Vinny Testeverde out of mothballs at one point, this undrafted rookie got a shot towards the end of last year and led the Panthers to wins in two of their final three games. Jake Delhomme is still a question mark, so Moore could be called on again.



43. Trent Green (STL) – He was the S-T-L's QB once before, until Rodney Harrison decided to dive-bomb into his knee during a 1999 exhibition game. Trent wound up done for the year, and some unknown named Kurt Warner took over, and the rest was history. If Rodney didn't get a Super Bowl share from the Rams that year he certainly deserved one. Considering Marc Bulger's recent injury history, it not out of the realm to envision Trent coming into some games and putting up some numbers. But Trent has also been knocked out cold with scary concussions the last two years, leading thousands of arm-chair neuro-surgeons to suggest that Trent should call it a career.



44. Billy Volek (SD) – Like how Kurt Warner was the waiver wire wonder late last year, Volek was the ultimate pick-up in the latter stages of the 2003 season. A three-year, $9 million extension says the Chargers still think a lot of him. San Diego would be one local where the QB play would not go down much if the starter were to go down.



45. Shuan Hill (SF) – Out of desperation late last year, Hill started the last three games and threw 5 TD's v. only one INT, good for a QB rating of 101. Don't look at him as the second coming of Joe Montana, but he could very well give Alex Smith a run for his money in camp.



46. Patrick Ramsey (DEN) – It wasn't long ago that Ramsey seemed to have quite a future in Washington. Ramsey now has over 900 pass attempts on his resume so he will be one of the more reliable #2's out there.



47. Kevin Kolb (DEN) – The Eagles braintrust thinks a lot of Kolb, who has jumped ahead of A.J. Feeley on the Philadelphia depth chart. Considering how the likes of Feeley and Jeff Garcia have performed in relief of Donovan McNabb in recent years, Kolb should be thought of in the event that he gets some starts.



48. J.P. Losman (BUF) – They say he's on the outs in Buffalo, but the stats on his still young career are not THAT bad, a 59 percent completion percentage (63% the last two years, a 77 QB rating, and 31 TD's v. 29 INT's.



49. Matt Leinart (AZ) – If we were ranking the teams' quarterbacks rather than QB's themselves, the Cardinals would be ranked top-ten and maybe even top five. Leinart was penciled in as a starter, but after a lackluster pre-season, Leinart appears headed to the bench once again



50. Alex Smith (SF) – The arrival of Mike Martz as offensive coordinator alone gives reason for consideration for Alex this year, but his stats from last year or even the year before have been nothing to write home about for the former #1 overall pick, and it looks like the 49er braintrust are poised to admit it's mistake by naming J.T. O'Sullivan the starter.



TEAM QUARTERBACK RANKINGS:
1. Patriots, 2. Cowboys, 3. Colts, 4. Saints, 5. Browns, 6. Cardinals, 7. Bengals, 8. Packers, 9. Steelers, 10. Broncos, 11. Eagles, 12. Seahawks, 13. Giants, 14. Rams, 15. Chargers, 16. Lions, 17. Texans, 18. Jaguars, 19. Panthers, 20. 49ers, 21. Redskins, 22. Titans, 23. Chiefs, 24. Buccaneers, 25. Bills, 26. Jets, 27. Raiders, 28. Vikings, 29. Ravens, 30. Falcons, 31. Dolphins, 32. Bears







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